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Despite good relations between ASEAN member-states, domestic politics remain unstable incertain key countries and there are pockets of turbulence elsewhere. More likely is that jockeying between the two great powers makes it even harder for ASEANto adopt a cohesive response to shared challenges; or that growing economic linkagesbetween China and its neighbours in Southeast Asia create a path dependency that leavesSoutheast Asia enmeshed in a Beijing-dominated sphere of influence. Essential analysis of the stories shaping geopolitics on the continent. It seemed more like a game of whack-a-mole than a proper plan. The Indo-Pacific Tilt will not prove meaningful unless it leads to a permanent step-change inthe pace, breadth and depth of Britains engagement with Southeast Asia, which lies at thegeographic and geopolitical heart of the broader Indo-Pacific region. Ben Boulos nee Bland Anyone follow this 37 year old BBC News commentator. Led by Rizal Sukma, who ran the countrys leading think tank and would later be rewarded with the ambassadorship to the United Kingdom, they had come up with the idea of turning Indonesia into a "global maritime fulcrum". Has Joko Widodos Power Peaked in Indonesi He has no strong sense of where he wants Indonesia to go. Less Bland.https://t.co/CJQKtCK21t pic.twitter.com/nNphKNgdQz. Foreign governments have repeatedly placed far too much hope in Jokowis ability to step up in the global arena. As the Egyptian economy falters, Sisi is turning to the Chinese government for support. He chose a foreign minister, Retno Marsudi, who had a lower profile than her SBY-era predecessors. The UK has a very solid base of political, economic and social capital in Southeast Asia uponwhich it can build in the years ahead. A vibrant region of more than 650 million people, Southeast Asia presents manyopportunities for the UK. 30. Share this post. Same Ben. Although he has taken Indonesia down a slightly more unilateral path, Jokowi is driven by instinct, whim and the winds of fortune. The two also discussed climate cooperation with China, the road to COP28, and much else. It is not a substitute for much-needed economic reforms or a consistent trade policy, but it has no doubt helped the country maintain a decent flow of foreign investment and lending, allowing it to sustain growth and cover the annual budget deficits. Many of the values I try to live by are deeply rooted in both that faith and culture. Government-to-government partnerships can only get nations so far. This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. Non-fiction for kids: big books for little people are great news for publishers, The west looks like a political risk to Asian allies, Dream state: Widodo struggles to build his vision for Indonesia, Beneath Malaysias political battles are older struggles, Five books that explain the Hong Kong protests, Death toll rises as Indonesia cleans up after weekend tsunami, Indonesia tsunami kills 222 and injures hundreds eyewitness footage, Indonesia tsunami kills 222 and injures hundreds. The Interpreter features in-depth analysis & expert commentary on the latest international events, published daily by the Lowy Institute, Copyright 2023 32. I regularly brief governments officials, parliamentarians and business executives in Australia,the UK, the US, Southeast Asia and beyond on issues related to the region. The presenter looked dapper as ever in a navy-blue suit with a purple tie and crisp white shirt. 5. Then RusShow moresia invaded Ukraine, and businesses around the world confronted a decision on whether to pull out of the Russian market. Lastly, the FCDO needs to do more to help build a broader community of experts engaged inSoutheast Asia. Jokowi, pictured with his wife, Iriana, Chinese President Xi Jinping and Peng Liyuan, is interested in attracting investment and that has shaped his relationship with Beijing.AP. 12. Rather, it should focus on specific issuesand geographic areas in order to make the most of finite diplomatic, development andmilitary resources. New resources should be concentrated in countries that are important but difficult tonavigate, including Indonesia, the Philippines, Vietnam, Myanmar and Thailand. 44. 374 likes. Malaysia lacks a stablegoverning coalition. Language, diplomacy and law (in lockdown) The UK's Indo-Pacific Tilt, mutual (mis)understanding between Australia and Indonesia, and what Franz Kafka tells us about Hong Kong's legal system. I have wondered whether changing from the name Bland is somehow disloyal to the memory of my great-grandmothers wise decision, without which I may not be here. analyse how our Sites are used. And Jokowi himself has declared his ambition for Indonesia to become a developed nation by 2045. Before joining the Lowy Institute,Benwas an award-winning foreign correspondent for theFinancial Times, with postings in Jakarta, Hanoi and Hong Kong and experience reporting across China and Southeast Asia over the previous decade. Jokowis ad hoc leadership style exacerbates the weaknesses of Indonesian foreign policy. But as Bland quite rightly points out, Jokowi has no time for great power politics. As always you can unsubscribe at any time. In a later video, Ben told the camera: "Well, here is one last clue. He was also implicitly criticising the approach of his predecessor, Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, who adopted a policy of "a thousand friends and no enemies" or "a million friends and no enemies", depending on how affable he was feeling. Both countries have much to gain on thisfront. Thisshould be supported by deepening the UKs strategic conversations and cooperation onSoutheast Asia with other important partners such as the US, Australia, the EU and Japan. The Indian government has tread carefullyand invited trouble. Economic diplomacy: Borders, barriers and obstacles, For real peace, Afghanistan needs a Plan B, Economic diplomacy: Indonesia trade, ASIO business & deglobalisation, Indonesia considers trade options post TPP. Explore the benefits of your FP subscription. 25. As China escalated its struggle with its south-east Asian neighbours for control of the regions rich fishing grounds and reserves of oil and gas, there were some initial signs that Jokowi would take a more resolute stance. Ben Bland is the director of the Southeast Asia program at the Lowy Institute. WebBen Bland. Remember the adage that generals always fight the last war? Indonesian President Joko Widodo has a laser-like focus on promoting economic growth, sothe best way to get his backing is to support his ambitions to build more physicalinfrastructure, improve education and healthcare, and accelerate the shift to a digitaleconomy. By Ben Bland Mr. His research focuses on the nexus of politics, economics and international relations in Southeast Asia, The rotatingannual chair takes on much of the work of organising and setting the agenda for ministerialmeetings. In early 2020, as the economy showed signs of weakness while still chugging along at 5 per cent growth, Jokowi asked his ambassadors to put "70-80 per cent" of their focus on economic diplomacy. Despite the deep historical roots of Indonesias contemporary aversion to alliances, some Western officials continue mistakenly to believe that Indonesias warm words signal a desire to become much more engaged in regional and global issues. Jokowi pushed ahead, confident that his tough approach was popular at home. Australia needs to have a much better understanding of these limits, and learn to cooperate more effectively and realistically with its important neighbour. Indeed, rather than rising to the challenge Jokowi has struggled under the immense pressure. It was a genuine reflection of how he sees the world. He has cancelled several foreign trips at late notice because of domestic political difficulties and, when he does go overseas, he can be a temperamental traveller. When it comes to winning trust,understanding nuances and getting down to brass tacks, there is no better tool thanspeaking the local language. More importantly, he thought that, just as with democracy, foreign policy should be put to work to boost his overriding obsessions: the economy, infrastructure and his personal bank of political capital. Tom is over there, bending Jane's ear about Download the new FP mobile app to read anytime, anywhere. The rising middle classes across the region willgenerate strong demand for the products and services that Britains diverse corporate sectorprovides. Delivered Wednesday. 6. Indonesias south-east Asian neighbours, meanwhile, were mostly turning inwards as they too faced intractable domestic problems. While the pandemic has dented economic growth in Indonesia,the countrys medium-term prospects are robust. Copy link. Jokowi was referring to the founding principle of Indonesias engagement with the world, that it should be "free and active", or bebas dan aktif. He continued: Every name tells a story and I want mine to give a more complete picture of who I am. Only one British university, my alma mater SOAS, offers advanced study ofthe Indonesian language. In the brief text, Jokowi sounds more like a furniture exporter than a disciple of Sukarno, Metternich or Kissinger, talking of the need to "boost quality Indonesian products, reduce our dependency on imports, create balance and expand the scope of export markets". Indonesias notorious weakness in handling natural disasters and other crises has been evident through the Covid-19 pandemic. Although the UK government is looking to deepen its engagement across the Indo-Pacific, itcannot possibly hope to make a difference in all parts of such a large region, whichencompasses billions of people across two oceans. Be the first to receive the Lowy Institutes latest research, podcasts and information on upcoming events. Jokowi has struggled to contain the virus this year. But as I reached the end, I was yearning for more of his views on what could happen next in the Indonesia story. cookies Ben Bland is the director of the Southeast Asia program at the Lowy Institute. If the UK government is serious about competing with China, it has endless avenues to workwith both governments and civil society in Southeast Asia to demonstrate the benefits ofengaging with democracies that respect human rights, value environmental protections andembrace transparency and openness. BenBlandis aformer Director of the Southeast Asia Program at the Lowy Institute. Now outside the EU, the UK needs to find new markets for its goods and services andnew investment destinations. Put Southeast Asia at the centre of the UKs Indo-Pacific Tilt. It took only a short while, however, for complaints to emerge. The UK should put Indonesia at the heart of its intensified engagement with Southeast Asiabecause Indonesia is so important and the UK-Indonesia relationship has so much room togrow. Facebook. And the President rarely spoke about it again, not even mentioning foreign policy or maritime issues in his second-term inauguration speech in 2019. While a third fan joked: "I told you my letter writing campaign would work babe!. 38. 34. Jokowi has also been feted by many Western politicians and pundits who have been seduced by his charms. Think about it from the perspective of a furniture exporter, he said. If Jokowi wants friends with benefits what economists would call mercantilism he has no real plan to win them over, beyond his personal charm and a rotating cast of supporting officials. Development cooperation isa vital tool of statecraft for the UK and, even in the middle-income countries such asIndonesia and the Philippines, there is no shortage of problems that the UK can help totackle. ", Naga couldnt resist popped her head in shot and exclaimed: "Its going to be so much fun! In terms of financial resources, the UK should look to maintain or increase its developmentspending in Southeast Asia, despite overall budget cuts and the fact that more SoutheastAsian states are now classed as middle-income countries. Ben was previously an award-winning correspondent for the Financial Times in Indonesia, China and Vietnam. When Chinese encroachment into Indonesias fishing grounds led to tense incidents involving the Indonesian coast guard and navy in 2016 and 2020, Jokowis response was more symbolic than substantive. Delivered Monday-Friday. They decided on the blandest name possible literally to ensure their survival. http://loopers.co/. A personal update: after three great years at @LowyInstitute, I'm leaving next month to take up a new role as director of the Asia-Pacific programme at We are a local music group in the San Luis Valley who is very verse in music styles. Who is the Chinese group blamed for cyber attacks on the west? Stay informed with the latest commentary and analysis on international events from experts at the Lowy Institute and around the world. Sharing a snap of him sitting at a desk at BBC News, Ben was grinning at the camera while rifling through his notes, a glass of water prepared at his side. Last August, when the United States passed the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), commentators celebrated the fact that the worlds biggest economy would slash its carbon emissions anShow mored provide massive tax credits to programs investing in clean energy. It is ironic that Jokowi, a leader who prides himself in being responsive to the concerns of the public, has not done more to improve the countrys health system. He withheld information about the pandemic, and vacillated between taking the necessary mitigation measures and suggesting there was little to worry about. 42. Boulos explained that while he is proud of the British side of his family, having the surname Bland made people fairly assume he is as British as they come, and he felt like half of his identity was being masked. He continued: Every name tells a story and I want mine to give a more complete picture of who I am. His decision was sparked by constant confusion between him and a former Financial Times journalist in Australia called Benjamin Bland, with Boulos often receiving messages intended for the other Mr Bland. Author and foreign policy analyst working on Southeast Asia and Hong Kong Sign up now so you dont.

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